Football Brainiac

Every year, with the announcement of the NFL’s 2008 regular season schedule, there’s always one thing you can count on: fan’s outrage over the injustice of their favorite team’s schedule. Cripes! Even our Ranting Slovak started the year with this.

While there may be a tad bit of justification for apparent injustices, I dare say this dribble is WAY overrated. Each team has to play 16 games. They gotta play somebody and they can’t all be the Dolphins so why don’t we stop whining and get ready to play.

At the same time, though, who you play obviously matters. Blitzburgh over at Behind the Steel Curtain makes a good point about this. The 2006 Jets are just one example given in that post. Easy shcedule = make the playoffs. I’m also reminded of last year’s Browns who were lucky enough to have .430 schedule (and, oh by the way, still missed the postseason).

To further add fuel to flame, ESPN’s John Clayton even wrote an article the other day that proves the Steelers have a doozy of a schedule. Their opponents’ winning percentage is .598. That’s apparently one of the toughest in NFL history. He also claims that playing these caliber teams can really wear a team down to the point they finally break.

And, to be honest, this very well may be the case for Pittsburgh (or any of the AFC North for that matter). Especially when you consider how the Steelers finished last year. Could they start out of the gate strong again and then just get tired about half way through the season? These are legitimate concerns, but I think the Steelers will hold up better than some fear.

In today’s NFL, if you can win all of your home games and your divisional games, you’re going to have a more significant chance of making the playoffs. If the Steelers are able to do just that and no more, their record would be 11-5. Which in most any season should get you in the playoffs. But can they do that?

Listed below were my initial thoughts when I looked at the Steelers schedule. Call it my “Preseason Prediction”, if you will. But I think it has a lot of merit. Ah, to be a football fan. This is what makes the offseason so much fun, right?

1. Houston: This is a game the Steelers should win. The Texans are getting better, but they’re not at the level Pittsburgh is at.   Win [1-0]
2. @ Cleveland: This one may be tough, but am I the only one that thinks the Browns, when faced with a tougher schedule, will fall apart under the pressure? This may not be the case by Week #2, but it just seems that Ben owns this team, doesn’t it? Win [2-0]
3. @ Philadelphia: This is a totally different team when Donovan McNabb is playing. I just don’t think the Eagles are as much of a threat as they’ve been in the past, though. They’re getting a bit long in the teeth.   Win [3-0]
4. Baltimore: We said it last season, the terror the Ravens have imposed on Pittsburgh ended last October. Too bad Steve McNair won’t be playing in this one, too!  Win [4-0]
5. @ Jacksonville: We just can’t get away from these guys can we? The Jaguars have always given the Steelers fits. There’s just some teams who have a mental & psychological edge over you. I think the Steelers will try to avenge last year’s losses, but the outcome will sadly be the same.   Loss [4-1]
6. Bye Week. Pittsburgh stands at 4-1 (gee, that sounds familiar)
7. @ Cincinnati: Without an O-Line, Chad Johnson or Chris Henry, it could be another loooong year for Carson Palmer.   Win [5-1]
8. New York Giants: Don’t get me wrong, the Giants earned that Super Bowl last year, and nothing gave me greater pleasure than seeing them upset the Pats. But I just don’t think this team will be that good in 2008.   Win [6-1]
9. @ Washington (MNF): This should be a good game, but I don’t know if Jim Zorn will have this team playing like a real winner in ‘08.   Win [7-1]
10. Indianapolis: The Steelers always play the Colts tough at home (and usually win, too). But because they will probably have two losses by now.   Loss [7-2]
11. San Diego: Two straight home games against playoff-caliber teams. The bad news here is the Chargers get to play at 4:15 instead of 1pm. I still think the Steelers win this, though.   Win [8-2]
12. Cincinnati: A third straight home game will certainly help keep our boys rested (somewhat) considering this is a Thursday nighter. A season sweep of the Bungles will put the Steelers in a good position (especially since the Patriots will probably be 11-0 by now). Win [9-2]
13. @ New England: The Steelers will have 10 days to prepare for this one. Will it be enough? I don’t think so, but it should be closer than last year’s debacle. Loss [9-3]
14. Dallas: Pittsburgh hardly ever plays the Cowboys at home. In fact, I half thought the schedule makers would have made this a Thanksgiving game (thank God they didn’t). In my opinion, the Cowboys are vastly overrated. Wade Phillips will probably end up losing his job after this season. Besides, I’d love to see Jerry Jones scowling on the sidelines at Heinz Field. Win [10-3]
15. @ Baltimore: Another season sweep of a division rival. Win [11-3]
16. @ Tennessee: I’m thinking that at this point, the Sterelers will have wrapped up the AFC North. And with losses to Indy and the Pats putting Pittsburgh out of the hunt for a bye week in the playoffs, I’d be surprised to see starters on the field. Loss [11-4]
17. Cleveland: You can’t honestly expect me to think the Browns will ever beat the Steelers, can you? Win [12-4]

So what do you think? Are the Steelers really a 12-4 team this year (no matter who they pick up in the draft)? Are the Giants, Eagles & Cowboys all as overrated as I’m making them out to be? Will the Browns fold under the pressure of a tougher schedule? And waht about the Chargers? I’d lover to hear your thoughts.

As any Steelers fan would know, the NFL’s 2008 season was announced yesterday. I figured that since we’re now all talking about the upcoming season with a little more clarity, this would be a great time to get my blogging butt back in gear, too.

I have been on hiatus for the last couple months because I just have a hard time getting into the whole “mock draft” stuff. I’m not knocking those who do, but I just don’t follow college football enough to know who’s good and who’s a wasted pick. I’ll leave that part up to the Mel Kipers of the world.

I want to start our 2008 blogging season with a good ol’ fashioned rant about why this year’s NFL schedule, overall, is a complete joke.

The “geniuses” who came up with this rediculously lopsided agenda have set new lows this season. The scheduling formula was supposed to be a chance to create a more fair slate of games for “lesser teams” and combine that with the draft order (worst drafts first) to give all 32 NFL teams an opportunity to reach the postseason each and every year. They have taken that idea and promptly flushed it down the toilet with common sense.

Let’s start with Monday Night Football. The original idea behind MNF is that it places both teams in the national spotlight which, in turn, increases the game’s fan base. Teams usually fall into one of two categories for MNF: 1) playoff teams and 2) teams with a large fan base.

Let’s start with playoff teams. How many of the 32 slots playing on MNF this season are playoff teams from last year? 14. Not even half! The playoff teams with the most appearances are Green Bay (3) and Pitsburgh (2). The amazing, theoretically unbeatable, and astounding New England Patriots: 1. The Super Bowl Champion New York Giants: 1. The Colts: 1. The Cowboys: 1. The only other team that has a large national fan base that didn’t make the playoffs are the Raiders (1 appearance). The Seahawks (who have won the NFC West 4 years in a row)aren’t on MNF at all.

So who is appearing in the other 19 spots on the national stage? Leading the way is the Cleveland Browns with 3 appearances. Followed by the Broncos, Eagles, Saints and Vikings (each with 2 appearances).

Now the Broncos and Eagles I can understand. These two teams have made the playoffs most of the last few years. But the 7 spots filled by Cleveland, Minnnesota and New Orleans is ludicrous. These teams have four playoff spots between them this decade and only one since 2003. It’s obvious that Cleveland is the NFL’s 2008 version of the 49ers (It wouldn’t surprise me if they end up the same way, either). And we know that Adrian Peterson and Reggie Bush are playmakers, but come on. This isn’t basketball, it’s football - a team sport!

I don’t normally look at whether a game is a prime time game like the media does to judge the challenge of a schedule. To me, Monday, Thursday and Saturday games are the biggest indicator. Why? Becuase of the amount of days the team has to prepare the following week. More games with four or five days rest make it more difficult for a team to stay at their best.

So, looking at it this way, who has the most challenging go of it in 2008? Cleveland has four of these types of games. Pittsburgh, Denver, Dallas, Philadelphia, Green Bay and New Orleans have 3. Only half of these teams actually made the playoffs last season.

Teams that had winning records last year with the fewest of these challenges include (get this) all playoff teams! The division winning Giants, Buccaneers and Seahawks (1 each) and the Patriots, Colts, Jaguars, Chargers and Titans (2 each).

I think this is outrageous that perennial winners like the Colts and Patriots and Divison winners (not to mention Super Bowl Champs) get 1 appearance.

This is NOT FAIR to the “lesser teams”. Teams like the Texans, Chiefs, even Bills will have a harder time trying to win their divisions becuase the teams that usually make the playoffs have mroe time to rest and prepare.

Does anyone else feel the way I do or is it just me?